https://www.betshoot.com/asian-handicap-betting/
First, recognize
in general
Sports were Not invented
for people to profit from betting.
Therefore, the Structure of the Sport
was not set up to make a profit from betting.
There be No opportunity.
There may only be a rare sliver of an opportunity.
There be No opportunity.
ROI is the top priority
ROI = Payout + Probability
Technically -200 is Ok if there is 99% probabilty
In general,
for me right now
Payout +Plus payout
is the first priority
Points +Plus points is the second priority
+plus Payout
+plus Points
Injuries
Weather
Home / Road split
Park Factors
Injuries
Recent Performance
Recent ATS performance
Wins
Margin of Victory
Point Differential
Offense
Defense
^ all of above variables vs Quality of Opponent
adjustments for quality of team
Adjustment Bureau
Soccer Ties are annoying.
It is annoying to think that a team plays for draws.
It's a perverse incentive system.
Then could eliminate ties.
or give 1 point for tie
and give 3 point for win
anyway
the way soccer is that teams play for Draws
there is a gravity to the draw
especially the underdog time
Hey, guys let's fight for the tie !
not inspiring
use this to your advantage
in Soccer
look for Teams with +Plus Points
and +plus Payout
-110 is ok
but you prefer +100 or better+
+Plus .5 or better
is the first priority
this limits the games to look at
then do a deeper analysis
Frequently, the First Filter is the most successful
Separation
NHL and MLB year one
it's just another one unit bet
don't spend too much time on it
and move on
Just treat it like NHL stats
NBA, College Basketball, WNBA ~ all the same analysis
NHL hockey is the structure to follow
Basketball has No goalie
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