Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Poker

https://www.flopturnriver.com/poker-strategy/pyroxenes-common-flop-odds-19147


http://www.cardplayer.com/poker-tools/odds-and-outs



https://www.partypoker.com/how-to-play/school/basics/key-facts.html


https://poker.stackexchange.com/questions/6026/percentage-chance-of-flopping-straight-or-flush-draw-for-suited-connectors


http://www.pokerology.com/lessons/drawing-odds/


http://www.suntzupoker.com/poker-odds.aspx

https://www.beatthefish.com/poker-strategy/texas-holdem-odds/


______________

https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/25/probability/odds-flopping-straight-flush-draws-holdem-479259/

https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/25/probability/odds-flopping-opened-straight-draw-2-connectors-89495/

http://www.homepokergames.com/odds.php

https://www.mypokercoaching.com/poker-odds-calculator-outs-math/

http://www.thetapoker.com/texas-hold-em-odds-from-1-to-52/

https://www.pocketfives.com/f7/math-question-about-flopping-straight-draws-124516/

https://www.tournamentterminator.com/tournament-strategy/poker-mathematics/probability-odds-rule-of-thumb/

http://www.grinderschool.com/articles/calculating-outs

https://www.pokerstarsschool.com/article/Odds-and-Outs

http://pokercruncher.com/odds_questions.htm


______________
______________

http://www.wsop.com/how-to-play-poker/images/how-to-ranking.jpg

http://www.pokerology.com/lessons/drawing-odds/

http://www.cardplayer.com/poker-tools/odds-and-outs

http://www.cardplayer.com/poker-tools/odds-and-outs

https://www.cardschat.com/odds-for-dummies.php

______________

Probability of being dealt
any Pair
22 - AA
before the flop
5.88  %

You will get a Pair
17
1/ 0.0588
on average  once every 17 hands

______________

XX
pair

flop has at least one King
to give you at set or quad
XX-X
XX-XX
11.76   %

XX pair will hit a set/quad
8.5
1/ 0.1176
on average  once every 8.5 hands

______________

set
XX - X  flop

full house   33.4   %

2.99
1/ 0.334
on average  once every 3 hands

______________

pair XX on flop

set+ on river/turn    8.42   %

______________

AK -

AK-K   or   AK-A    flop
32.43   %

______________

Flush Draw on the Flop

You complete the flush on the river/turn   34.97   %

2.86

______________

Straight Draw and Flush Draw  on the flop
( eight out straight draw

You get a straight or flush on the river/turn   54   %

______________

Suited XY -

Flush Draw or Flush
on the Flop
11.79   %

______________
______________
______________
______________

https://www.flopturnriver.com/poker-strategy/pyroxenes-common-flop-odds-19147#text


Common odds when holding two suited cards:


Code:
flopping a flush (including the slight chance of a straight flush in some cases)     0.842%

flopping a four flush                                                               10.944%



0.842
+ 10.944
=  11.786

______________


Jack - 10

flop  Straight or Straight Draw


Common odds when holding connectors from 54 to JT:


Code:
flopping a straight (including the slight chance of a straight flush in some cases)  1.306%

flopping an 8 out straight draw*                                                    10.449%


1.306
+  10.449
=  11.755


______________


suited connector
suited Jack - 10

let’s say it’s heads up

you got a chance of flopping Flush Draw  and/or  Straight Draw

______________


Heisenberg Uncertainty principle

when bet
you change the pot size and ROI  for the opponent


______________




http://www.cardplayer.com/poker-tools/odds-and-outs


Odds of being dealt certain starting hands



Any pocket pair
0.0588



______________


Open-ended straight Draw
8   outs
31.45
factor  3.93

Flush Draw
9  outs
34.97
factor   3.89

Factor of   4
flop  to  river/turn

______________

Ace King - 
nothing on flop
can you pair Ace or King  on river/turn

6 outs
24.14  %

http://www.cardplayer.com/poker-tools/odds-and-outs


______________



22 - 2 A K

Quad or Full House on Turn
2
AAA     you need a board pair
KKK

7 outs

14.89

______________


22 - 2 A K - Q


Quad or Full House on River
2
AAA
KKK
QQQ

10 outs

21.74


14.89  +  21.74  =  36.63   ?


______________



https://www.partypoker.com/how-to-play/school/basics/key-facts.html

17. Full house I

If you do get two pair on the flop, the chances of making at least a full house by the river is 16.74%.


18. Full house II

But if you flop three-of-a-kind, the odds of making a full house or better by the river go up to 33.4%, or one in three.

______________

http://www.pokerology.com/lessons/drawing-odds/


The Rule of Four and Two

A much easier way of calculating poker odds is the 4 and 2 method, which states you multiply your outs by 4 when you have both the turn and river to come – and with one card to go (i.e. turn to river) you would multiply your outs by 2 instead of 4.


______________


https://www.beatthefish.com/poker-strategy/texas-holdem-odds/


On the flop, when you have:
• Four cards to a flush, you will complete it by the river: 1.9 to 1 (35%)

• An open-ended straight, you will complete it by the river: 2.2 to 1 (32%)


• Two pair, you will complete at least a Full House by the river: 5 to 1 (17.7%)

• Three of a kind, you will complete at least a Full House by the river: 2 to 1 (33.4%)

• One pair, you will complete at least three of a kind by the river: 10.9 to 1 (8.4%)

• An open-ended straight flush draw, you will complete at least a straight by the river: 0.9 to 1 (54.1%)

• An open-ended straight flush draw, you will complete it by the river: 10.9 to 1 (8.4%)


______________

http://www.homepokergames.com/odds.php

Flopping a set or better = 7.51-to-1 (11.76%)


______________



https://www.mypokercoaching.com/poker-odds-calculator-outs-math/


POKER ODDS OF HITTING OVER CARD WHILE HAVING A PAIR

QQ
KK

are at the 50%
overcard


88   87% ~ 88%

this is important

question
AA is great
KK is almost as good
when does it convert to 22

Probability to see an over card for your pocket pair

Quanta   Quantum

consider the number of opponents


______________

ROI  for Set and Straight
may be better than for Flush

because it's easy to see the Flush on the board

Straight is harder to see, but you can see it

Set is impossible to detect


Rank - ROI  discrepancy

______________