Monday, January 1, 2018

YT















YT
Subscribers
Videos

like Bill James
the new Bill James

Warren Buffett


quick picks
decisive
justify
X-factors
bullet points

no face
Brazil Disney toy channel

screen recording

go straight to the point
jump in

end with summary of picks


 https://www.islonline.com/mobile/remote-support-ios.htm


https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/columnist/saltzman/2016/09/17/whats-a-burner-phone/90382874/

 https://www.wired.com/2017/02/7-great-burner-phones/

http://time.com/4375849/burner-app-number/

 https://www.techguruit.com/4-legal-reasons-you-need-a-burner-phone-number/


 https://www.att.com/esupport/article.html#!/wireless/KM1048244


 https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.lexa.fakegps&hl=en


 https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.incorporateapps.fakegps.fre&hl=en

https://www.phonearena.com/news/Heres-how-to-easily-fake-your-GPS-location-on-Android_id62775


 https://www.xda-developers.com/fake-android-location/


http://www.cgtglobal.com/mobile-apps/

https://www.expressvpn.com


https://www.islonline.com/mobile/remote-support-ios.htm

https://www.regus.com/office-space/united-states/nevada/las-vegas


https://try.breather.com/month-plus/?cityslug=Los%20Angeles&usecase=offices&utm_source=google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_creative=Office_Space_Rentals-_-Rent_the_Ideal_One_in_Los_Angeles&utm_content=&utm_term=office%20rental&utm_network=g&utm_placement=&utm_pos=1t1&utm_campaigndetails=&utm_keyword=&utm_campaign=1052253579&utm_adgroup=53150327753&citycta=Los%20Angeles&citymeta=Los%20Angeles&gclid=CjwKCAiAtorUBRBnEiwAfcp_Y_dV9pctBZVLfwy6q8UrxFpCkgyNUc2_deDoW1D_25krpQ_N67xO_RoCDnAQAvD_BwE


5/day

 https://www.regus.com/office-space?utm_source=google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=US+>+EN+>+OF+>+SM%7CG%7COF%7CNBD%7CBMM%7CNational%7COffice_Space&utm_term=%2Bmonthly%20%2Boffice%20%2Brentals&gclid=CjwKCAiAtorUBRBnEiwAfcp_Y_Tn_DuQxhbAWQ8U5AOQ9_JBvWoeQw0Dsnd6gniOQUnheu-6c3Qq0xoCgvEQAvD_BwE#overview

 https://www.intelligentoffice.com/nevada/las-vegas-centennial/office-space/local?gclid=CjwKCAiAtorUBRBnEiwAfcp_Y7XO0otTXbebCmcx6_x54vnc8e13qvAMxUhInuPrbUBp05gM-U0HuhoC084QAvD_BwE


 https://liquidspace.com/us/nv/las-vegas

159

 https://www.apartments.com/studio-plaza-apartments-las-vegas-nv/4cl5hpk/


https://www.davincivirtual.com/loc/us/nevada/las-vegas-virtual-offices/



http://fortune.com/2011/02/15/was-my-sports-bet-legal/


 https://www.wklaw.com/legal-to-gamble-on-sports-in-california/

https://lasvegassun.com/news/2013/feb/02/amateur-gamblers-gain-following-sports-book-succes/

https://www.americangaming.org/sites/default/files/After%20Action%20Report_PDF-Web.pdf

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2017/12/03/sports-betting-states-rights-tap-supreme-court/910669001/


http://www.vegasinsider.com/handicapping-contest-proxy-services/

https://lasvegassun.com/news/2014/dec/21/million-dollar-middlemen-sports-contests-booming-p/

http://www.kellyinvegas.com/picks/

 http://www.kellyinvegas.com/picks/

 http://www.proxybet.com


https://www.imgl.org/sites/default/files/media/publications/isproxyplaylegal_rose_agl_spring2015.pdf

http://www.footballcontest.com/proxy/supercontest-proxy-service-faq/#.WoNwJBclFBw

http://www.gambling-law-us.com/Articles-Notes/Internet-Wire-Act.htm

 http://www.gambling-law-us.com/Federal-Laws/wire-act.htm

 http://www.goingtovegas.com/gamble-online-using-a-proxy

https://www.covers.com/editorial/Article/51e2a81b-b51e-e711-80cb-44a8423171c1/Contest-proxy-services-big-business-NFL-football-season-superbook-nfl-betting-nfl-odds

 https://sports.vice.com/en_us/article/z4d594/the-new-face-of-sports-gambling-is-kelly-in-vegas

 https://www.sbnation.com/longform/2012/11/14/3635476/football-gambling-supercontest-lvh-vegas-handicapping

 http://www.bettingtalk.com/like-responsible-turning-picks-winner-lvh-supercontest/

 http://www.thephillygodfather.com/westgate-supercontest-proxy


https://www.oskeimsportspicks.com/why-i-left-a-successful-law-practice-to-become-a-sports-handicapper/


https://www.oskeimsportspicks.com/about/

 https://www.oskeimsportspicks.com/about/

 https://healthfully.com/start-sports-handicapping-business-7189591.html

https://www.legalsportsreport.com/9487/sports-betting-platform-fansunite/

 https://www.avvo.com/legal-answers/is-it-legal-or-illegal-to-have-an-online-sports-ha-1786364.html

 https://www.avvo.com/legal-answers/sports-handicapping-business--is-it-legal-or-illeg-1789577.html


https://www.computerhope.com/keys.htm

https://www.computerhope.com/jargon/keyboard.htm

Amanda Hocking, the writer who made millions by self-publishing online
https://www.theguardian.com/books/2012/jan/12/amanda-hocking-self-publishing


Amazon Pays $450,000 A Year To This Self-Published Writer
https://www.forbes.com/sites/jaymcgregor/2015/04/17/mark-dawson-made-750000-from-self-published-amazon-books/#2e9e4ea36b5b

Why Self-Published Romance Novels are so Successful
There is an estimated $1.08 billion in romance sales per year
https://www.diggypod.com/blog/self-published-romance-novels/



The goal right now is to build subscriber base and community, establish authority and credibility, and provide a real and useful service - this is stage one

Stage 2 - get more viewers than First Take ( which won't be hard )


Big Thinking ~ for the Youtube Channel, I want to get over One Million Subscribers, and average more daily views that the ESPN tv talk shows like First Take, build up a next generation sports media empire to challenge and conquer ESPN

Sports
Stocks
Tech, Computers
Success
Self Help


Youtube and Blog
take over the world with zero cost

guerilla

one million subscribers

more views and watch time daily
than ESPN tv talk shows

then get sponsors
exit - sell to ESPN

eBooks
Blog
public speaking
digital marketing consulting

learn Spanish, Italian, Korean, Greek, Japanese, etc


Hate for ESPN shows up alot in the comment sections and forums

I consider my content as a Hybrid = Radio with Visual presentations like power point = “Visual Radio”
Education + Entertainment + Economic


_______

Learning Language

All Human Knowledge is Language.
Math is language.
Art is language.
Dance is language.
Sports language.

Start with that you know.
Start with what you are good at.

_______

English is a Gateway language.
Many foreign languages have inputed into English.
English language rules are inconsistent and sometimes

_______

Start with Languages that you have some existing foundation
English - German
English - Latin - Italian, Spanish, etc
Latin - Greek - Hebrew
Korean - Japanese - Chinese
Follow the family Tree

_______

Korean and other languages with Different Alphabet

Do Not worry about Alphabet, Reading, Writing

Stage 1
Step 1

Listen Hear Korean

English Alphabet Approximation
Spell the word out with English Alphabet

The functional unit is the WORD

Symbolic (audio) learning

Learn it as a functional unit

the brick is the WORD

for long words, you may need to break down into syllables

Do Not pronounce the individual letters of the alphabet

Listen, Parrot, Repeat, Modulate, Calibrate

Spell the English Approximation
Listen
Parrot, Repeat
Say the English Definition

Pretend that you are learning new English


_______


For Spanish and Italian,
they use English Alphabet
Spell the Word out

One less step


_______

Next, understanding audio, some one speaking

Listen
Translate in English

_______

This will work
I can do this


_______


Learn like a baby learns

Listen
Say it
Repeat
Definition

^this is first

Reading and writing are later



_______

Next step
For Korean, Greek, Hebrew

Handwrite the Letters

Know the name of the letters and sound

Letter combinations

Then spell out the foreign letters
Connect the foreign letters with the foreign sound
You must master the foreign sound first
Letter - Sound - English Definition

_______

Letters, Syllables, Words, Phrases, Sentences
Grammar, Rules

_______

Computer Science, Computer Programming, iPhone Apps, whatever, etc
Language

_______

motor - fundamental functional units -
Visual, Audio, Writing

_______

GTL
Grand unified / unifying
Theory of 
Learning


_______

Theory, Applied Science / Knowledge, Experimental, Real world
Dominate !
Synergy

NHL and MLB
We are Looking for Teams that meet the following criteria for good ROI

*Bad teams that lose at home
*Road teams that win on the road
*Brand name teams that lose - Chicago
*Non-brand name teams that win
*Bad teams that lose my 2+ goals
*Good teams that win by 2+ goals
*Good teams that dominate and crush bottom teams - Bama
*No playing down to the level of competition, Don't beat Tampa and lose to Buffalo.
*For standings, a Win is a Win
*Prefer teams that win in regulation
*Teams that can win OT and Shootouts
*Bad teams that lose by 2+ goals to good teams
*Underdogs that Upset Favorites
*Top and Bottom, Extremities, Outliers, Outside the cluster
*Two+ margin of victory = PuckLine and RunLine



_______

Passive Learning   vs   Active Learing

Use Both Active and Passive
Passive and Active

For example, you listen to a song, and suddenly you can sing the song
_



https://www.svots.edu/saying-jesus-prayer


http://www.samaanchurch.com/en/miracle_en.php


 https://prezi.com/ajrk6yoyuh8a/moving-the-mokattam-mountain-a-miracle/

https://www.goarch.org/-/the-basic-sources-of-the-teachings-of-the-eastern-orthodox-chur-1

 http://www.saintbarbara.org/growing_in_christ/the_jesus_prayer

 https://www.svots.edu/saying-jesus-prayer

https://www.theguardian.com/education/series/use-your-head

 https://www.ncu.edu/blog/can-music-help-you-study-and-focus#gref

https://www.ncu.edu/blog/can-music-help-you-study-and-focus#gref

“Music activates both the left and right brain at the same time, and the activation of both hemispheres can maximize learning and improve memory,” says Dr. Masha Godkin

 https://files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/ED522618.pdf


http://gzsihai.com/santorini-wallpapers.html

 http://gzsihai.com/501379204.html

 http://gzsihai.com/data/out/100/im-501379204.jpg

 https://giphy.com/gifs/animated-beautiful-florian-JsfRdYBLl4a1a/download

 https://www.quantamagazine.org/chaos-theory-in-ecology-predicts-future-populations-20151013/

 https://d2r55xnwy6nx47.cloudfront.net/uploads/2015/10/strangeattractor.gif





_______________


*Injuries check & factored in.


*Risk Management:
A. No Bet
B. Bet with Risk and ROI in mind
1. Diversification
2. Max Limits / Limit Exposure
3. Safety Margin / Edge / Advantage


93 games with lines today
with just 12 hours to analyze
You must Filter
Selection Criteria


ESPN  BPI

Calculated Point Differential
Offense
Defense

Ken Pom
Calculated Point Differential
Offense
Defense
Tempo

Point Differential

Neutral vs Home Court

Benchmarking
Floating Global Currency
Fiat Money
Anchor
Gold Standard
In Football ~ Bama is the Gold Standard


No Bet is the Best Bet
Default

Diversification
MiT Black Jack Team
Spread it out
Unit betting ~ Chip
1 or 2 chips per bet

Strict Max Bet
1 chip, 2 chip, 3 chip, 5 chips
Law of Averages

A. I.  Artificial Intelligence
Algorithm
Perfect Execution
Computer is better than human for Black Jack

 While the MIT team's card counting techniques can give players an overall edge of about 2 percent, some of the MIT team's methods have been established as gaining players an overall edge of about 4 percent.

https://www.inc.com/magazine/20080801/luck-is-for-losers.html

http://tech.mit.edu/V122/N50/50bj.50n.html

https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?referer=https://www.google.com/&httpsredir=1&article=1528&context=gradreports

https://www.wired.com/2002/09/vegas-3/

Jeff Ma from The MIT Blackjack Team

http://meetinnovators.com/2010/11/04/jeff-ma-mit-blackjack-team/

 advantage over the casino is about two percent.

Edge
Advantage
Gap
Safety Margin


Take advantage of Mega Trends
Underdogs in the month of May
college basketball


Home Court Advantage
Underdogs getting Points in March

Feb and March are the main two months of college basketball
Power 5 conferences are better, because it's easier to benchmark
more parity



Jan, Feb, March

Unit bet and Max bet should be in Proportion to the Chip Stack
Bankroll - Chip Stack at the table - unit bet, max bet

Injuries are important

Black Jack
Poker
Stocks
Investment Science / Art

Warren Buffett


Next Year
Feb and March are the main two months

Saturday Mega Card
Focus on Underdogs +5

the added bonus of underdogs is the moneyline +200

End of regular season
Conference championships
NCAA tournament

Underdogs

Seasonal Averages Points scored, Points allowed, Point differential
vs individual matchups ~ rematches
injuries impact

Power Ratings

Calculate your own point spread
ESPN  BPI
Ken Pom
Point Differential

Chemical Engineering
Process CONTROL
Process dynamics

College Basketball is like Stocks
Day Trading

Stay Humble
specifically and practically ~ Know that you do NOT know everything

NOISE
Volatility

People are Not interested in straight theory videos
You need to do CASE STUDIES

You are a professor
theoretical
empirical
experimental

Social Science

Put is all together
then go back into stocks

Underdogs must be your Focus #1
Bonus MoneyLine

Over and Under do Not give you the Payout

INJURIES !!!

Underdogs +5 and better
MoneyLine +200 and higher

Under 150 with injuries

Home Favorites First Half -3 or better point spread
You have High BPI top quality teams

End of the regular season
Last game of the season
Last home game of the season
Conference playoffs
NCAA tournament


Why Underdogs ~
Last weeks of the regular season
games are more competitive and closer and tighter
underdogs give max effort
underdogs have more to gain
more motivated
bubble
pride
rivalry hate

ReMatches are great
Previous matchup is the best data points
especially if it is recent

REMATCHES

Injuries
Recent injuries are more important
Recency

Point Spread are based on seasonal averages
that is the steady state.
You want to look for variance

+5 points for more
Why ?
Because you need a cushion
5 points is a good cushion
in close games, points come at premium
2 points
3 points are huge
5 points give you a nice cushion
consider the later free throws in the last seconds

more points is better

+5 correlated with +200 payout

+5 points
+200 moneyline is perfect
this is the sweet spot
triple point

Next year, you can jump in when

Power 5 is better
because more Parity
also it's easier to know an benchmark the teams

look at the top 25 teams, and learn their conferences

remember these are college kids
not getting paid
they are also going to school
emotions, psychology, and performance is volatile
road performance is wacky

NOISE

Pride says you can predict perfectly

Humility is the Truth
there is ALOT of Noise in College Basketball
But you can find the sweet spot
the quiet lake

it is all coming together


REMATCH
INJURIES
UNDERDOG

Calculate your own points spread
use your own 3 methods
ESPN BPI
KenPom
Point Differential

Seasonal Averages
Look for discrepancies vs Vegas Line

this is useful

look out for neutral court


You are the genius
ignore the haters and people that think they are smart
"Handicapping" profession is b_ll shit
their methodology is stupid
i went through this in college
i'm right they are wrong
and I will formulate it and lay it out

add theory to the end of the case study


March 3
YouTube Picks
🎲 6 WINS 
ATS / COVER
South Carolina +11
Stanford +8.5
Oklahoma State +5
Georgia +9.5 
Michigan +5
Penn State +9

_______

3 LOSSES
Colorado +9
North Carolina +7
Brown +5

_______

MONEYLINE 3 WINS
Stanford +300
Oklahoma State +180

Michigan +200





















Posted by at No comments:
Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)